ETHFI price forecast amid liquidity drawdown and on-chain activity plunge

• ETHFI price swings wildly amid shrinking liquidity and weak on-chain activity.
• Ether.fi’s daily users have fallen to 328 as fees plunge by nearly $98,000.
• The price risks deepening if $0.96 support level fails to hold.

Before the sharp recovery, Ether.fi’s native token, ETHFI, slid sharply earlier today and over the recent days as liquidity thins and on-chain engagement falls to multi-month lows.

Market analysis and protocol metrics now point to a fragile short-term setup, with technical losses compounding worries about upcoming token supply and declining income for holders.

Altcoins sell-off drags ETHFI

Risk aversion in broader crypto markets has amplified ETHFI’s move downward.

As traders flee speculative tokens, ETHFI — a high-beta staking play — underperformed large-cap peers.

The token fell by over 7.1%, hitting a low of $0.9997 before recovering to $1.11 at press time, while wider altcoin benchmarks show smaller declines, highlighting project-specific pressures.

Notably, market rotation toward Bitcoin (BTC) has intensified outflows from smaller tokens.

For example, ETHFI’s 30-day slide of roughly 33% signals sustained selling pressure rather than a one-day repricing event.

Investors are treating the token like a leverage play, exiting quickly as macro and micro signals turned negative.

Technical breakdown deepens losses

From a technical standpoint, ETHFI has slipped under the $1.15 midpoint retracement and tested the $0.96, the 61.8% Fibonacci level, erasing a nascent recovery attempt and fracturing market confidence.

In addition, the RSI sits near neutral but trending down, while the MACD histogram still supports a bearish momentum picture, although there are signs of a possible reversal, and elevated volume during the drop showed conviction among sellers.

Because algorithms and short-term traders rely on these technical thresholds, once those levels break, they often accelerate down moves, which appears to have happened here.

A close beneath the $0.96 area would open the door to a retest of the September $0.80 low.

On-chain metrics paint a grim picture

On-chain data confirm the price weakness, with daily active addresses plunging to 966, the lowest since July 2025, showing a clear drop in buyer and user interest.

Protocol fees have also collapsed from roughly $210,500 to about $111,700, an over $98,000 drop that directly hits net holder income and reduces yield attractiveness for stakers.

Liquidity has also drained to near-yearly lows, with available DEX liquidity around $680,000.

That thin depth magnifies price moves, as even modest sell orders push the market more.

TVL has also contracted to roughly $9.784 billion, according to DefiLlama, underscoring that long-term commitment to the protocol has waned.

Tokenomics overhang still matters

Supply dynamics remain a structural risk for ETHFI holders as well.

With about 56% of the total supply circulating, upcoming unlock schedules keep potential dilution in investors’ minds.

Building on the upcoming major unlock event, fear of future supply increases can prompt preemptive selling, mirroring events seen in comparable projects.

Net Holder Income has also fallen sharply quarter over quarter, with the Q4 NHI sitting near $464,000 versus $3.9 million in Q3, signalling a material drop in protocol revenue that reduces incentives to accumulate or hold.

Without improvements in usage or fee generation, holder economics remain challenging.

ETHFI price outlook

The immediate outlook is biased to the downside until concrete signs of recovery appear.

Key technical support near $0.96 must hold to preserve the chance of a short-covering rally.

If that level fails, ETHFI could revisit the $0.80 area where buyers previously defended the token.

Recovery depends on two things: renewed on-chain activity and restored liquidity.

A return of daily users and a rebound in fees would stabilise NHI and improve the token’s narrative, while a meaningful liquidity refill would reduce volatility and help price discovery.

Until those changes materialise, traders should expect elevated swings and possible further erosion.